Skip to main content

Why Donald Trump draws crowds, Hillary Clinton doesn't


Some analysts believe many are simply reluctant to admit they're on Hillary Clinton's side.


Clinton is seeking the company of stars like Pharrell Williams and Bernie Sanders to draw crowds [Brian Snyder/Reuters]
by



It makes fans of Hillary Clinton very anxious every time I state this simple fact: attendance at the Democratic candidate's rallies is mediocre at best.

The pictures have told the story over the past six months. Republican Donald Trump is filling convention centres, airport hangars and parks. Clinton, on the other hand, is filling community centres and small colleges, but just barely.

The people campaigning for her - the rock stars of the Democratic Party like First Lady Michelle Obama, President Barack Obama and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders - have bigger and more energetic crowds.

Moreover, as Clinton goes into the final weekend of campaigning, she is drawing on mega-celebrities to attract people to her cause by holding separate events with musicians Pharrell Williams, Jay Z and Katy Perry.

There was a momentary spike this past week in Tempe, Arizona where, aside from July's Democratic National Convention, she had one of her biggest rallies yet.

More than 10,000 people attended an event where she went solo. But you could chalk that up to the fact a Democratic presidential nominee in Arizona is rare. Unlike Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, New Hampshire and other battleground states, Arizonans aren't bombarded with campaign stops.

Clinton rallied in Winterville, North Carolina, on Thursday [Chris Sheridan/Al Jazeera]


Conservative media and Trump himself have pointed to the smaller size of the rallies and bring it up all the time.

"I have to say, we have rallies like this and we have seven, eight, nine, ten thousand routinely," he boasted back in September at a stop in North Carolina. "Hillary goes out for rallies and yesterday I think she had 200 people, maybe 300."

But some analysts believe that, contrary to Trump's persistent assertion that there's a "silent majority" in the US who want him to win, the opposite may be true and that could explain at least some of the low numbers at Clinton rallies.
Proud Trump supporters

There is no doubt Trump supporters are proud to say they're voting for him. That's been evident since the beginning of his campaign.

But Lara Brown, an associate professor of political management at George Washington University, argues size doesn't necessarily matter.

"Trump is a novelty and for some, to say that they went is like saying they went to a sporting event," she argues. "Trump has also regularly been going to places where he is most beloved, not where the ground game is most competitive."

Other analysts believe many are simply reluctant to admit they're on Clinton's side.

The controversies surrounding her - the use of a private email server while secretary of state, allegations she gave special access to world leaders while in government in exchange for donations to her family's foundation and, more recently, a FBI investigation into her staff emails - have made it harder for people to show their love.


"I've had a number of students tell me that they're reluctant to be too public or too publicly enthusiastic over their support for Clinton," says Chris Galdieri, assistant professor at St Anselm College in New Hampshire. But he believes the support is there.

"My wife recently took our daughter to see Clinton at an event here in New Hampshire," he says. "And met women from New Hampshire and other states who had brought their daughters with them specifically to see Clinton, because there's a good likelihood she will be the first woman president."

The Clinton campaign insists they've baked in the small numbers into their strategy. At a stop in Winterville, North Carolina, I asked one of Clinton's top aides whether she's concerned about the mediocre attendance.

"We've gone into less populous parts of the state for a reason," said Jennifer Palmieri, Clinton's communications director. "There are voters in this area [North Carolina] that we want to turn out so if you go to a place where there aren't as many people who live there, you aren't likely to get the crowds."

On a Friday conference call with reporters, Robby Mook, Clinton's campaign manager, said they've had success in early voting getting people who haven't cast a ballot much in the past - so-called "low propensity voters" - to come out to the polls.

But on the same call campaign officials barely addressed questions about reports that African-American early voting is down from 2012. That's a key group of people for Clinton.

At the end of the day, the voting booth is where the attendance really counts.

"Enthusiasm is great, but it doesn't predict the result," says Brown.


Source: Al Jazeera News

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Four Armed Robbery Suspects Killed In Shootout With Police In Songwe

  “This is Vwawa Bus Stand, where the incident occurred in which armed robbers shot and killed a security guard before fleeing with various items.” Songwe. Four suspected armed robbers have been shot dead following a confrontation with police in Songwe Region after allegedly being involved in a violent raid on a mobile phone and financial services shop in Vwawa town, Mbozi District, in which a security guard was killed. According to a statement issued today, December 30, 2025, by the Songwe Regional Police Commander, Senior Assistant Commissioner of Police (SACP) Augustino Senga, the incident occurred at around 3:30 a.m. The suspects reportedly stormed the shop, owned by businessman Gabriel Msemwa, at the Vwawa main bus stand, killed the guard, William Mwampashi (45), and fled with assorted items. The deceased suspects have been identified as Bruce Mwasenga, Eliuta Mapunda, Abdul Chiba, and Justine, known by a single name. SACP Senga said police immediately launched intensive, inte...

JAB Yawasogeza Huduma Waandishi Iringa, Yaomba Ushirikiano Kudhibiti Waandishi Wasioidhinishwa

Iringa. Bodi ya Ithibati ya Waandishi wa Habari (JAB) imeendelea na jitihada za kusogeza huduma zake kwa waandishi wa habari nchini, safari hii ikifika katika Klabu ya Waandishi wa Habari Iringa (Iringa Press Club – IPC), ikiwa ni sehemu ya mkakati wa kuboresha tasnia ya habari na kulinda taaluma ya uandishi wa habari. Akizungumza wakati wa kikao na waandishi wa habari mkoani Iringa, Kaimu Mkurugenzi Mkuu wa Bodi ya Ithibati ya Waandishi wa Habari (JAB), Wakili Patrick Kipangula, amesema lengo la ziara hiyo ni kutoa elimu kuhusu majukumu ya bodi, mchakato wa ithibati pamoja na kusikiliza changamoto zinazowakabili waandishi wa habari ngazi ya mikoa. Wakili Kipangula amesema bado kuna changamoto ya uwepo wa watu wanaojihusisha na shughuli za uandishi wa habari bila kuwa na ithibati halali, hali inayochafua tasnia na kuhatarisha maadili ya kazi hiyo nyeti. “Tunawaomba waandishi wa habari kushirikiana na Bodi kwa kuwafichua watu wanaojitambulisha kama waandishi bila kuwa na ithiba...

MUCE IMPLEMENTS SH18.6 BILLION PROJECT IN HONOUR OF FATHER OF THE NATION’S VISION

Iringa. As Tanzania marks 26 years since the passing of the Father of the Nation, Mwalimu Julius Kambarage Nyerere — a passionate advocate for education — Mkwawa University College of Education (MUCE), a constituent college of the University of Dar es Salaam (UDSM), continues to successfully implement the Higher Education for Economic Transformation (HEET) Project worth over Sh18.6 billion. Speaking to journalists in Iringa, MUCE Principal Prof Method Samwel Semiono said the project, implemented by the government through the Ministry of Education, Science and Technology, aims to reform the higher education system so it can directly contribute to the country’s economic transformation. “The five-year project (2021/2022–2025/2026) is funded by the World Bank and focuses on curriculum improvement, infrastructure development, human resource capacity building, inclusive education and gender equality, as well as promoting the use of ICT and digital learning,” explained Prof Semiono. He no...